147,000 Americans to die from coronavirus by August
According to a newly revised model from the University of Washington, 147,000 Americans are projected to die to from coronavirus by the end of August.
The grim forecast published by University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME) takes account of the partial easing of the lockdown. It reinforces the statements from medical experts, including the testimony to the US Senate by Dr Anthony Fauci, which have warned of the potentially grave consequences of lifting restrictions too early. Fauci and others have stated that restrictions should not be lifted until testing and contact tracing can be vastly expanded.
Yet the report admitted that the precise consequences of reopening the economy remain difficult to determine.
“The full potential effects of recent actions to ease social distancing policies, especially if robust containment measures have yet to be fully scaled up, may not be fully known for a few weeks due to the time periods between viral exposure, possible infection and full disease progression,” the IHME stated.
The US has already lost nearly 81,000 lives to the virus, by far the worst death toll in the world and exceeding the number of Americans killed in the Vietnam War. The economy has, however, partially been reopened.